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December 11, 2006

Predictions

I sort of love Markos for posting this.

December 11, 2006 | Permalink

Comments

It's actually Devilstower, a new dKos front-pager. He's a good guy and writes on energy issues pretty often.

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf | Dec 11, 2006 11:53:41 PM

heh. That WAS rather brillant and amusing. You can practically feel the questions rising up to the back of your skull when this Devilstower person lists these ridiculously speculative multiple choice answers.

It takes a big person to just admit: "I've got no flipping idea."

Posted by: Joshua | Dec 12, 2006 1:32:54 AM

I think Kerry sort of caught a lot of people off guard. I wrote a post only a few days before Iowa joking that he would have to select the Harlem Globetrotters as his collective running mate to have any chance of winning. Kerry's victory in Iowa was one of the great "Whaaaaaaa?" moments in blogging.

Posted by: August J. Pollak | Dec 12, 2006 7:29:40 AM

gee, bloggers can talk totally out of their ass while actng like they're delivering proclamations from the mount? that's defnitely kos in a nutshell...

Posted by: christian | Dec 12, 2006 12:26:53 PM

That was one of my best moments, telling friends that the Democratic nomination was basically still open for grabs back in December '03, when almost everyone was crowning Dean the inevitable nominee. Of course, I never thought that Kerry would be the beneficiary of a Dean fall. I don't know anyone who was predicting a Kerry win with sincerity at that point.

Which reminds me, for all the Kaus-haters out there...

Posted by: Chris | Dec 12, 2006 3:21:12 PM

I thought Kerry was going to be the first major candidate to withdraw, presumably after he got stomped by Gephardt in Iowa and Lieberman in New Hampshire.

Still, predictions do have value. We learn from them. It can be helpful to try to figure out how you got it wrong. In Kerry's case, I think it was because Gephardt and Lieberman were unacceptable to the base, and Dean freaked a lot of people out. Edwards and Clark were too inexperienced. Kerry was the most responsible remaining Democrat by default.

Posted by: Adam Herman | Dec 13, 2006 10:57:34 AM

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