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August 08, 2006

Election Results Bleg & Open Thread

by Nicholas Beaudrot of Electoral Math

Does anyone know where I can find township-level (rather than county-level) results for tonight's election in Connecticut? Also, where I can find a map demarcating townships? Google is pretty unhelpful on this front.

Update: Here are the township results ... now I just need a map ...

Update II: It's not perfect, but these county maps have township boundaries. I think.

August 8, 2006 | Permalink

Comments

This thing is deeply over. Turnout is heavily skewed upscale and suburban. I'm eat my laptop if Lamont doesn't win tonight.

On to analysis of the possible 3 way...

Posted by: Petey | Aug 8, 2006 8:12:27 PM

I've short-sold my first parcel of Indie-Joe-wins futures at 37. It'll probably go higher in the short term as Ned cruises to victory; I'll short more.

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf | Aug 8, 2006 8:26:48 PM

Don't get too cheerful about the early returns. We always knew that the absentee ballots (which are being counted now) were going to go to Lamont and that the urban ballots (which will be counted last) will go to Leiberman. I would say that if Lamont is not up by 5 at the half way point, we should prepare ourselves for the fact that he lost.

Posted by: jburnout | Aug 8, 2006 8:37:51 PM

Yeah, It's probably over, but I want to look at turnout and margins. From the anecdotes, it sounds like the affluent areas have swung to Lamont and turned out in droves, the small towns that feel ignored have swung to Lamont but didn't grow in turnout as much, and the blue-collar areas have just had dampened turnout.

That has some implications for general election messaging, and probably for the viability of the various House Challengers to Shays/Simmons/Johnson.

Posted by: Nicholas Beaudrot | Aug 8, 2006 8:41:44 PM

"Don't get too cheerful about the early returns."

No worries about that. I was rooting for Lieberman.

Posted by: Petey | Aug 8, 2006 8:44:10 PM

No worries about that. I was rooting for Lieberman.

Oh, that's our Petey!

Posted by: Christmas | Aug 8, 2006 8:45:39 PM

"That has some implications for ... the viability of the various House Challengers to Shays/Simmons/Johnson."

I'm not sure I see that. The November electorate will be drastically different than today's electorate.

-----

And for getting a sense of the historical echoes of what's taking place today, I love the registrar of a college precinct saying that today's heavy turnout was like nothing since the '92 CT primary surge that lifted Jerry Brown over Bill Clinton. It's fun because I'd imagine the overall CT correlation between the Brown and the Lamont voters is very, very high.

Posted by: Petey | Aug 8, 2006 8:55:22 PM

The next 48 hours are going to be really interesting.

I think we're looking at a pretty big Lamont blowout tonight. I'm upping my over/under on the spread from 10 points to a lucky 13 points.

There's obviously going to be a huge amount of pressure on Lieberman to drop out, and a huge parade of elected Dems endorsing Lamont.

I'm very curious what Lieberman's rhetorical direction will be tonight.

Posted by: Petey | Aug 8, 2006 9:05:08 PM

Oh, by the way, Nick. The township result link keeps sending up an error message for me. So I tried it in IE. (God, I feel dirty. Like voting Republican dirty.) And it works fine.

So Firefox 1.5.0.6 users be wary.

Posted by: Off Colfax | Aug 8, 2006 10:08:07 PM

Man, Petey, you really are a turd, aren't you?

I lived in Jerry Brown's California and later in Jerry Brown's Oakland. The man has no shortage of flaws, but [epithet epithet epithet] if you want to tar my state and my erstwhile city with some sort of wacko brush.

Under other circumstances, I'd be more profane, but if Lieberman loses tonight I shall be in too good a mood.

Posted by: wcw | Aug 8, 2006 10:46:54 PM

Nick, I know you're probably looking for a computer image, but the America Votes series of books by Richard Scammon have maps of New England states by townships. Look in the 1970-1978 editions.

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