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April 29, 2006

Billions and Billions Wasted

By Neil the Ethical Werewolf

Greg Sargent wants Democrats to make a point of the billions squandered in Iraq.  I agree with commenters that this isn't the central thing to say about foreign policy, or about Iran.  "We'll spend less money" loses to "We'll keep you from getting blown up."   The point to make on Iran is that sensible diplomacy is the best way to keep us from ever being blown up.  By repeated bombing, you can't prevent Iran from ever getting the bomb -- you can only delay it.  And if you bomb their country, they'll be even angrier when they finally get nuclear weapons.  We've got at least 5 years for careful diplomacy and a few Iranian elections to do their work before Iran could get nuclear weapons.  We should be able to get help from the Saudis and other Sunni Arabs, who would be within the range of a Shiite nuclear missile.  (Iran's current level of missile technology doesn't even let them threaten Israel.  I recommend looking at this map.)  So there's no point in going nuts and doing anything drastic now. 

But the point about wasted money is still worth making on the side, particularly if we focus on money wasted through Republican corruption.  It discredits the Republicans on two issues where they've long needed some discrediting --  foreign policy, and efficient government.  It also reinforces the corruption message. 

April 29, 2006 in Foreign Policy | Permalink

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Comments

quite right. however saying $4 billion in untraceable cash money could have payed for katrina cleanup might have some impact too.

Posted by: almostinfamous | Apr 29, 2006 5:38:54 AM

You assume in your post that Iran will respond to "reasonable diplomacy". What evidence do you have that Iran has ever responded to reasonable diplomacy. And if they don't, what is your plan "B"?

We've got at least 5 years for careful diplomacy and a few Iranian elections to do their work before Iran could get nuclear weapons.

Wow! You seem to have better information than the Mossad who's best estimates are two years or less. Where do you get such wonderful information?

Posted by: Fred Jones | Apr 29, 2006 8:46:33 AM

"the US Intelligence Community does not believe that Iran could do so before “early to mid next decade”—a revision of previous assessments that Iran would “have the ability to produce nuclear weapons early in the next decade.”"

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf | Apr 29, 2006 9:40:21 AM

(direct link here.)

Posted by: Neil the Ethical Werewolf | Apr 29, 2006 9:42:22 AM

You should check the competition, Neil. I've got to run but am pretty sure I saw a deal between Russia and Iran for the supply of defensive missiles : Washington Monthly.

Posted by: opit | Apr 29, 2006 10:54:58 AM

Why, exactly, should we care whether or not Iran has the bomb? All the answers I've heard boil down to "well, they threatened Israel". So what? We're not Israel. Let them deal with their own problems. Why is everything that happens in the world our responsibility? Time to put America first for a change and bring back a sensible isolationist policy.

Posted by: Firebug | Apr 30, 2006 12:44:37 AM

Firebug,

If Israel deals with the problem herself, the Middle East willl erupt in a war like the world has not seen in decades. Preventing that is a compelling interest of the United States.

Posted by: Mastiff | Apr 30, 2006 4:19:02 PM

This is a great article. I am new to your blog and i like what I see. I look forward to your future work.

Posted by: Jimmy | Nov 17, 2006 5:58:45 AM

Great article and I totally agree with you. Total waste of money bombing them every now and then as we were just provoking them to do more drastic things. But, so far, the government hasn't found any better ways of solving this dilemma.

Posted by: Crizette | Dec 15, 2006 2:53:33 AM

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Posted by: peterwei | Oct 22, 2007 8:04:52 AM

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