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February 22, 2006
The Restaurant at the End of History
I'd forgotten about this guy.
Back in the early 1990s, when I read Fukuyama's The End of History and the Last Man, I was aware that he thought he was laying out a triumphalist's manifesto. We'd won the Cold War and that was that. The world had gotten to where it had been headed all along, the forces of liberalism and enlightenment and the legions of ignorance and tyranny who had been slugging it out since Archimedes hopped out of his tub had fought their last battle, goodness and niceness had vanquished evil and rottenness, and Western Civilization's favorite child, the United States, stood victorious over the body of the Evil Empire, while the people cheered, fade out. No more history to write. Last call, gents. Katie bar the door.
The idea depressed the hell out of me. And it seemed to me it depressed Fukuyama too.
Of course we were depressed by different things.
I was sunk into lassitude and ennui by the notion that the culmination of 3000 years of Western thought and struggle was America in the time of George Herbert Walker Bush. I didn't believe it. But I have a powerful imagination and am prone to nightmares.
I was also irritated by the chauvinism of it all. History had ended because a small group of 20th Century American intellectual types had lost their raison d'etre? And even for America, wasn't there still an awful lot left to do---explore Outer Space, cure diseases, end poverty, build better mouse traps, write a few more good poems? We accomplish a little of that over the next five hundred years or so, I thought, and future historians won't be able to take vacations, they'll be so busy chronicling our achievements. They'll hate us for how much work we'll have given them to do.
But I was young and my education had been spotty and inadequate. (I'm being flip but not sarcastic.) I was thinking of history with a lower case h---the story of the various messes human beings had gotten themselves into and how they manage to wriggle their way out. I didn't know that History was, not a force exactly, but an expression of the Will to Power.
If I'd understood that History with a capital H was the clash of two competing intellectual elites determined to direct the course of human destiny by force---two forces, really: the force of their arguments backed up by the force of their guns and tanks---I'd have seen that Fukuyama wasn't sad. He was mad.
What I took for Fukayama's melancholy struck me as a symptom of the same sense of disappointment that afflicted the sons and younger brothers of heroes through the ages, a combination of resentment and self-loathing because they'd been born too late to prove they could be heroes too.
Instead of enjoying the sunshine of Reagan's Morning in America, Fukuyama was sulking because he felt he'd have to live the rest of his life in his hero's shadow.
I read The End of History as if it was a late 20th Century variation on Frederick Jackson Turner's writings on the closing of the frontier, which I had also misread as a lament for days gone by and not a triumphalist's manifesto.
I didn't see that Fukuyama's "sadness" was just the humorlessness of the idealogogue on a mission. I missed the fact that he and other neo-cons saw the End of History not as a finish line but a starting point. The door had shut behind them. History was the past. The future was Opportunity.
Freedom was victorious and to the Victor goes the spoils, and since the United States and Freedom were the same thing, the spoils belonged to us. In other words, with Freedom now triumphant, Freedom got to direct the course of human destiny.
We were Freedom.
And that put us in charge.
We could now remake the whole world over in our image.
In his essay in the Sunday Times, Fukuyama revisits some of the ideas he raised in The End of History, concerned that they may have been misinterpreted. Not by the likes of me. By people who might mistake Fukuyama for a neo-conservative, including other neo-cons, and try to associate him and his book with the disaster that is the War in the Iraq.
Many people have also interpreted my book "The End of History and the Last Man" (1992) as a neoconservative tract, one that argued in favor of the view that there is a universal hunger for liberty in all people that will inevitably lead them to liberal democracy, and that we are living in the midst of an accelerating, transnational movement in favor of that liberal democracy. This is a misreading of the argument. "The End of History" is in the end an argument about modernization. What is initially universal is not the desire for liberal democracy but rather the desire to live in a modern — that is, technologically advanced and prosperous — society, which, if satisfied, tends to drive demands for political participation. Liberal democracy is one of the byproducts of this modernization process, something that becomes a universal aspiration only in the course of historical time.
In other words, says Fukuyama, in no way was I arguing that it was the mission of the United States to try to spread Democracy in the Mideast at the point of a gun. I was describing a process not advocating a plan of action. Other neo-conservatives pushed that.
"The End of History," in other words, presented a kind of Marxist argument for the existence of a long-term process of social evolution, but one that terminates in liberal democracy rather than communism. In the formulation of the scholar Ken Jowitt, the neoconservative position articulated by people like Kristol and Kagan was, by contrast, Leninist; they believed that history can be pushed along with the right application of power and will. Leninism was a tragedy in its Bolshevik version, and it has returned as farce when practiced by the United States.
Fukuyama wasn't a neo-con, or at least he isn't one anymore:
Neoconservatism, as both a political symbol and a body of thought, has evolved into something I can no longer support....
But Pat Lang isn't buying. Neither is Helmut at Phronesisaical. They think Fukuyama is trying some fancy footwork, practicing a bit of self-revisionism not only to avoid sharing blame for Iraq (and the potentially larger, escalating problems in the Mideast) but also to escape a responsibility for thinking up a way out of the mess.
Fukuyama's essay, as summed up by Lang, comes down to this:
...he has no solution for the mess that he and his pals made but is frightened by the result of their sophomoric meddling with the deepest forces in human nature and Middle Eastern history.
Helmut in an extended post (cross-posted at Majikthise)looks at the elitist and Machiavellian intellectual underpinnings of the neo-conservative movement, the neo-cons' moral and intellectual failure to realize during the Cold War that the US couldn't rely on the Soviet Union's obvious evil to be the only argument for our actions, and how that same arrogance went to work in Iraq. In his essay Fukuyama appears to be trying to say goodbye to all that, but, says helumt, he fails to reject a key idea that keeps him squarely in the neo-con camp:
Fukuyama...saw a fixed end to history in - surprise - his preferred form of governance that just happened to be the tradition of his own country. The logic or illogic of the present, in other words, entails a final outcome of the logic of history. Either way, history runs a linear course ending in liberal democracy. It's largely - with some tweaks here and there - my preferred form too, but it would be illiberal and undemocratic of me to maintain that the logic of history has resulted in my own wise choice.
Fukuyama says he doesn't think it's anybody's business to give History a shove. But by leaving in place the idea that History has a desirable outcome and that outcome is us, he leaves in place the argument that if the point is to get from here to there and we know where there is, why not help move things along?
February 22, 2006 in Foreign Policy | Permalink
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Comments
Since you read Helmut's essay on Majikthise, I am assuming you've seen Publius'
Posted by: coturnix | Feb 22, 2006 2:04:36 PM
....Publius' post as well.
Posted by: coturnix | Feb 22, 2006 2:05:32 PM
Helmut's observation that an evolution-based approach to foreign policy thought makes better sense than some fixed idealization of democratic liberalism ala the USA seems appealing to me. We don't and can't know where history is leading. With all our domestic failures (health care, crime, education, corporatist government, etc.) we should be far more humble than we have been. The USA is not nirvana, not in the past, and not now.
In fact, the only thing that GW Bush has said that I can recall agreeing with was his statement in the first inaugural (or was it the first SOTU?) that America should be humble in our foreign policy dealings with others.
So I agree with the point you and Helmut make that the US model of of a state cannot or should not be viewed as the desired final objective of the world's polities.
For me, a good foreign/defense policy would explicitly reject an concept of American imperial power or hegemony. I'm not satisfied that so many accept the idea that America should be policeman to the world. Let me add that I don't think isolationism is the answer.
There may be security and foreign affairs advantage for the US and the world in the US having a rock-solid defense establishment, but we don't need a presence in 130 (or whatever) countries, and we don't need to spend as much on defense as the rest of the world combined.
And we should be humble enough to realize and act on the idea that we can not or should not attempt to replicate our strengths and weaknesses elsewhere in the world. Frankly, I'm more impressed with the attitudes and approaches or a Norway, Canada, or Sweden than our post-cold-war American policies and practices. Let's dispense with the silly and dangerous notion propagated by Madelline Albright that American is the indispensible nation.
Posted by: JimPortandOR | Feb 22, 2006 2:09:04 PM
I am wondering if liberal internationalism or what I call "Neo-Angellism" (see Yglesias) will survive Iraq.
Glad you are all so copacetic and stuff. Somewhere today was a discussion of the lack of Empire-mentions in British literature until the 1930s. Kinda "Don't know what you got til its gone" thing. But hey, 30-50 percent decline in real std of living, no problem. Somebody on horseback will come along. Colonialism didn't exactly die with a whimper either, but with a bunch of bangs in states with populations who had expectations of stuff.
But hell, y'all got it all figured out. Tell me it will be fine. I'll trust you.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Feb 22, 2006 3:40:37 PM
My God, can someone really even have a passing understanding of Fundamentalism in its various stripes and incarnations and still say, "What is initially universal is not the desire for liberal democracy but rather the desire to live in a modern — that is, technologically advanced and prosperous — society, which, if satisfied, tends to drive demands for political participation."?
That's a basic error so large that I simply can't get past it. What drives the Christian Fundamentalist, the Islamic Fundamentalist and even the Jewish and Hindu Fundamentalist are a desire to avoid "modern" societies. Is he not paying attention?
Posted by: pfc | Feb 22, 2006 3:45:47 PM
I read this when it came out in 1992 and remember thinking "Hey, it's like Hegel for Capitalists!".
Like Hegel before him, Fukuyama believed in history as a process, of inexorable forces that lead to an inevitable conclusion.
And like Hegel before him, lo and behold, that Ultimate state of perfection just so happened to be the state in which they lived and thrived (for Hegel --who was employed as a government bureaucrat, after all-- the Prussian state of the early 1800s, for Fukuyama of the RAND foundation, it was the Corporatist US of the early 1990s).
Nietzsche warned us that most 'philosophies' are really just ex post facto rationalizations to try to connect the prejudices of the author with his preferred set of premises, and (once again) he seems to have been borne out. But then again Nietzsche begat Strauss begat Bloom begat Fukuyama, so I suppose it's all his fault too, somehow.
My question to Fukuyama would be, if he wasn't a neoconservative, why did he sign all those PNAC missives alongside Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz and Cheney?
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