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April 18, 2005

The Iran-India Pipeline

America is very, very stupid if they keep opposing the natty gas pipeline between Iran and India. Aside from the points Perkovich and Prasad bring up in their op-ed (clean gas for India, cooperation between India and Pakistan, development of Iranian natural gas, rather than nuclear, resources), tying Iran to so much Indian revenue would create another point of pressure that can be brought to bear when Iran wants to misbehave. If we can make a deal with India that we'll throw our support behind the venture (and maybe help them out in some other venues) so long as they pledge to use their economic influence to keep Iran in line, we'd have a best of both worlds situation. India would have some clean energy that wouldn't destroy their -- and our -- environment and Iran would have a partner who they'd need to remain in good standing with and who could thus demand some degree of responsible behavior from them. Blocking this pipeline out of simple spite would be the most myopic, short-sighted move imaginable.

April 18, 2005 in Energy | Permalink

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Comments

i dunno...a pipeline full of natty? The last thing we want to do is have cheap-ass beer distributed to the rest of the world. Stop this pipeline and get a pipeline of Dogfish Head IPA over there STAT!

Posted by: verplanck colvin | Apr 18, 2005 3:45:45 PM

Agreed.

Posted by: praktike | Apr 18, 2005 3:47:00 PM

Oh, and one other thing. Natural gas is still a fossil fuel, and still contributes CO2 to the atmosphere. It will be polluting the atmosphere, just not with particulate, SOX and NOX emissions.

Posted by: verplanck colvin | Apr 18, 2005 3:50:46 PM

I still find the logic a little difficult to accept. The ability of the U.S. to exert pressure over India on anything (see: 1998 nuclear weapons testing, recent WTO happenings in cohorts with Brazil) is rather weak, despite the growing interdependency of the U.S. and Indian economies and military exercies. Sure, you're building ties between a theocratic Iran to western-minded (read: liberalized) democracies such as India, but when push comes to shove, India will surely act in its best interests, and in the case of its energy needs during a large industrial revolution, Iran getting nukes doesn't seem like something that would be worth it suspending ties to Iran.

Now, there is another dynamic that is a little odd. As India solidifies its ties to Iran via an energy partnership, one of its greatest allies is Israel, with whom India has developed a viable military and economic relationship. Iran and Israel, of course, are sworn enemies. It's unclear what exactly would happen in that scenario.

Posted by: Neil | Apr 18, 2005 4:10:01 PM

I think the CO2 emission per BTU of enery generated by natural gas are not as high as for oil.

I'm not sure what the right policy here is. But in general India is not very interested in building good public diplomacy with the United States, largely because of our cozying up to Pakistan, President Musharraf's dictatorship, and being incredibly soft on the A.Q. Khan nuclear technology smuggling ring, for reasons which completely pass my understanding. Also our continued focus on China rather than India in terms of Foreign Direct investment is probably not very pleasing.

Posted by: Electoral Math | Apr 18, 2005 4:15:13 PM

Isn't the real test whether there's something in it for Bush, Inc.? If Halliburton or Bechtel get some development contracts, the US position is guaranteed to change.

Posted by: Mimir | Apr 18, 2005 4:37:24 PM

Short sighted? Given the choice between enlightened long term thinking and short sightedness, the administration has always, always, always opted for the latter. It is their calling card and raison d'etre.

Posted by: gord brown | Apr 18, 2005 5:09:51 PM

India can't have that gas because Chimpy and the gang have already divied it up among Halliburton shareholders. That's why Iran is next on the invasion checklist.

Posted by: Keith | Apr 18, 2005 5:18:29 PM

would India using natural gas do anything for the world demand for oil?
I know it would be 5 or more years out getting the pipeline built.

Posted by: eeff | Apr 18, 2005 10:54:38 PM

colvin, i figure what the world needs is more beer, not less. and the cheaper it is, the better for the poor people around the world. at least they wont have to drink local moonshine anymore. now thats something that DOES make people go blind

so like, whoa man. deja vu. i mentioned this in passing a few days ago when ezra was talking about energy demands of the dynamic asian duo. dont i feel all prescient now.ted rall must fancy himself an oracle by now.
being an indian who doesnt approve of all of his government's policies, it will be very interesting to see what kind of diplomatic and rhetorical acrobatics will be employed by the guvments of iran, israel, india,pakistan and indeed afghanistan, through which this pipeline passes, to reconcil with each of their significant fundamentalist bases.

also, iirc OBL(there's a name thats almost been forgotten on this side of the world) included israel and india in his worldwide jihadi scheme. so, a question ezra raised about global energy security raises its head. how the freak do you secure a multi-thousand kilometer pipeline against attack by freedom fighters/terrorists/jihadis?

Posted by: almostinfamous | Apr 19, 2005 1:22:54 AM

They can't pressure India, and even if they could India wouldn't listen because Pakistan has been chosen as the favorite in that neck of the woods, the sale of F-16s to them is a good recent example.

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Posted by: peter.w | Sep 15, 2007 7:44:39 AM

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