« More Lakoff | Main | The Imaginary Center »

April 08, 2005

Polls

Via Atrios, it looks like Arnold ain't doing so well:

Swept into office in an unprecedented recall election in 2003, the Republican's approval rating fell to 43 percent from 59 percent in January, according to a Survey and Policy Research Institute poll released on Thursday.

That's a bad approval rating for a Republican in a Democratic state, and it's coming at a bad time for Arnold. The past few weeks have seen challengers enter the race for governor, public employees mount an almost-armed uprising against him, and forced him to cave to the pressure and eliminate "pension reform" from the agenda. Arnold looks -- dare I say it? -- vulnerable.

Speaking of polls, the WSJ/NBC released
one (warning: PDF) that asked whether the Democrats should help Bush pass his proposals in bipartisan fashion or oppose the right to keep them from going too far. The answer? Oppose the right, 63%-30%.

April 8, 2005 in Polls | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
https://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c572d53ef00d8343bf07053ef

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Polls:

Comments

Ezra

I know you're a lib in Cal but really this is castles in the sky business.

The only person who could stop Arnie winning is Arnie himself - if he instead decides to defeat Feinstein.

Posted by: Boethius | Apr 8, 2005 1:34:38 PM

That WSJ/NBC poll question strikes me as being really badly worded. The full text for the answers is:

A/Work in a bipartisan way with Republicans to help pass resident Bush's legislative priorities so that we do not have gridlock, OR

B/Provide a balance to make sure that President Bush and the Republicans do not go too far in pushing their agenda.

While I tend to agree with the Republican agenda, I would probably answer B to this as well. (My definition of too far is probably radically different than yours though)

The answers could have been:

A/Try and workd contructively with Republicans in the best interest of the county OR

B/Blindly oppose any Republican Propossal.

And they would have gotten radically different results.

(Yes, my example is more extreme, for illustrative purposes only.)

I used to work at a survey call center, writing the CATI programs the interviewers used to collect data. It was sometimes amazing to watch the polling firms struggle to get the answers to come out 'right.'

This is a bi-partisan practice btw.

Posted by: Dave Justus | Apr 8, 2005 2:35:45 PM

B- oh, please. Whose pie? Ezra is citing a poll conducted by NBC and the Wall Street Journal, and pointing out events of public record. Fact is, Arnold is not invulnerable- he's been stood up-to once, it can happen again.

Posted by: TJ | Apr 8, 2005 2:35:51 PM

TJ. As one who voted against the Davis recall (not that I liked Davis - I didn't), there are a lot of moderate Californians who will oppose ARNOLD's version of Bush irresponsibility at EVERY turn. This fellow was a fraud from day 1.

As far as the Soc. Sec. issue, check out David Hogberg over at www.socialsecuritychoice.com - just for laughs. He's advising us Dems to work with Bush? PLEASE!

Posted by: pgl | Apr 8, 2005 3:52:32 PM

TJ

I think Dave Justus has just debunked the poll.

Personally I treat ALL polls with scepticism.

As to standing up to Arnold it can be done, has been done and will be done again. Knocking him down though now that's the hard part.

After all what's the alternative - a return to the pre-Arnold shambles? He'll win because people will still believe in him (rightly or wrongly) and will want to give him a fair chance to achieve things.

Arnold is often looked down on as some sort of Conan primitive, remember though that this is a man who has reached the top in no less than THREE professions.

I can also recall another California actor who was always underestimated by more "sophisticated" people.

Posted by: Boethius | Apr 8, 2005 3:55:18 PM

Boethius,

He's only debunked the poll if you think that WSJ would have a hand in commissioning a poll harmful to a seriously business friendly gov. Doesn't jive.

Posted by: TJ | Apr 8, 2005 5:57:10 PM

I certainly don't claim to have debunked this poll. I do contend that this particular question is poorly constructed and I do not believe it yeilds reliable data.

As to whether this was a result of someone trying to gimick the results or was simply a bad design choice I cannot answer.

I do assert however that gimicking of results on polls does occur. Although I didn't specifically mention it before, stupidity is also a leading cause of poorly designed questions and is certainly as likely as malice.

Posted by: Dave Justus | Apr 8, 2005 6:16:52 PM

TJ / Dave Justus

I understand your points.

Posted by: Boethius | Apr 8, 2005 9:30:50 PM

托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
木制托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
钢托盘
木托盘
钢制托盘
托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
南京托盘
南京钢托盘
上海托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
南京托盘
南京钢托盘
上海托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
纸托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘
杭州托盘
成都托盘
武汉托盘
长沙托盘
合肥托盘
苏州托盘
无锡托盘
昆山托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
纸托盘
南京托盘
南京钢制托盘
南京钢托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘

托盘
托盘
托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
塑料托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
塑料托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘
托盘
托盘
托盘
钢托盘
铁托盘
钢制托盘
塑料托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
木制托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
木制托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹板托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
木制托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
木托盘
塑料托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹板托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘

托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
木制托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
铁托盘
塑料托盘
木托盘
纸托盘
木塑托盘
柱式托盘
波纹板托盘
镀锌托盘
南京托盘
上海托盘
北京托盘
广州托盘


托盘
钢托盘
钢制托盘
托盘
塑料托盘

Posted by: peter.w | Sep 15, 2007 8:21:19 AM

The comments to this entry are closed.