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May 13, 2007

Body Counts

by Nicholas Beaudrot of Electoral Math

Icasualties


As measured by coalition deaths per day, we are now in the most violent twelve-month stretch of the four year occupation of Iraq. However, as measured by injuries per day, things are not quite as bad as the were for the period between April of 2004 and March of 2005, a period that includes the intial outrage at Abu Gharib, rising violence before the '04 election, and the post-election flattening of Fallujah. That's the "good" news.

The bad news, of course, is that things are getting worse, not better; and things have been getting worse for quite some time. While the surge is partially responsible for the uptick in violence, it's worth noting that things have been getting worse since roughly August of 2006, despite the fact that for some time, coalition forces were reducing their role in basic security operations.

May 13, 2007 | Permalink

Comments

Where'd you get this data?

Posted by: eriks | May 13, 2007 3:43:41 PM

Ezra, the graph measures casualties, not deaths.

Posted by: Francis | May 13, 2007 4:24:26 PM

Francis:
1) This post was written by Nick, not Ezra
2) There are two lines on the graph, one of which is labeled "Killed + Wounded" and the other of which is labeled "Killed."

Posted by: JBL | May 13, 2007 4:34:17 PM

"However, as measured by injuries per day, things are not quite as bad as the were ..."

Another way of putting it: the killed/injured ratio, which had been stable for most of the war, has begun to change for the worse. Injuries now are more deadly than previously.

Posted by: K | May 13, 2007 5:29:26 PM

very sad to think of this on mother's day.

Posted by: jacqueline | May 13, 2007 5:34:11 PM

Another way of putting it: the killed/injured ratio, which had been stable for most of the war, has begun to change for the worse. Injuries now are more deadly than previously.

Well, I'm willing to chalk that bit up to the surge. Obviously if you change tactics, the outcome is going to change in various ways.

Posted by: Nicholas Beaudrot | May 13, 2007 11:36:09 PM

my apologies for completely misreading the post.

Posted by: Francis | May 14, 2007 6:33:08 AM

Guys,

I think you may need to re-do this graph. I checked on icasualty.org and found a ratio of 3 wounded per KIA. I may be confused, though.

Regards,

Fred

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