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April 12, 2007
McCain on Iraq
Andrew Sullivan, whose transformation into something quite akin to a lefty continues to surprise, has a markedly clear-eyed take on John McCain's saddening resuscitation of Iraq as a club with which to beat Democrats. He writes:
Look: if this war has actually increased the power of al Qaeda, has helped recruit many more Jihadists to the cause, and has been conducted with the level of incompetence McCain claims, then he really has no credibility in his strategy right now if he doesn't explicitly and clearly run a campaign that offers clear blue sky between his strategy and the Bush legacy. His speech yesterday didn't and couldn't do that if it were to appeal to Republican primary voters. It even contained direct, partisan swipes at Democrats for their current posture. McCain cannot have it both ways. By his own admission, the Democrats have been proved right about this president. The failures in this war are squarely Republican failures. And yet he still plays the partisan card - against those who have been right. Oy.
I was stunned, yesterday, to watch David Brooks report that "the problem with [McCain's] approach is he doesn’t grapple with the psychology and culture of the Iraqis, upon which all else depends," and then see him turn in the next few paragraphs and write that, "In 10 months, this election won’t be about the surge, it will be about the hydra-headed crisis roiling the Middle East. The candidate who is the most substantive, most mature and most consistent will begin to look more attractive and more necessary."
McCain's ability to correctly diagnose the problem in Iraq and suggest solutions is absolutely critical to evaluating his potential performance in the presidency. As Sullivan notices, not only does McCain's analysis of the situation suggest that he, McCain, got it very wrong, but it shows that he lacks the self-awareness to truly explain why he so erred and thus guard against such failures of judgment in the future.
April 12, 2007 | Permalink
Comments
"Andrew Sullivan, whose transformation into something quite akin to a lefty continues to surprise"
Meh. Sully is a centrist, and the GOP has lost the center at the moment.
Simple as that.
Posted by: Petey | Apr 12, 2007 12:47:01 PM
"Substantive," "mature," and "consistent" being, like "serious," synonyms for "war favoring."
Posted by: Alan in SF | Apr 12, 2007 1:00:42 PM
Sullivan isn't anything close to a lefty unless you meant it in the sense that partisan Republicans consider anybody who criticizes their Dear Leader or the war in Iraq a lefty.
Posted by: Ron | Apr 12, 2007 1:02:37 PM
The tone Sullivan has taken towards the left has changed dramatically, from derision to something approaching comradery. I don't know if his substantive positions have changed much, but his rhetoric really has. He has, for example, been linking to Ezra and Mat Yglesias a lot lately.
Posted by: moo-cow | Apr 12, 2007 1:25:57 PM
Lack of self-awareness in regard to Iraq seems to be a theme that applies across the political spectrum, as threads on Clinton and Edwards in particular have pointed out.
Posted by: Sanpete | Apr 12, 2007 1:35:36 PM
No true lefty (or, for that matter, sane person) is a flat-tax lover or a Bell Curve devotee. Sullivan will be on our side until the Democrats take back the government, then he'll be a concern troll with few redeeming qualities, as he was in the Clinton administration.
Posted by: Glenn Fayard | Apr 12, 2007 1:39:14 PM
Sullivan will be a full-blown lefty soon enough. "I didn't leave the conservative movement, they left me." Conservativse are never going to support gay marriage, and that is what Sullivan wants more than anything else.
I used to read Sullivan back when I was a lefty as a way to keep up with the right. Since then, we've both changed places.
Posted by: Justin | Apr 12, 2007 1:43:24 PM
"The failures in this war are squarely Republican failures"
And we don't have Rumsfeld to kick around anymore. Several places around the blogosphere are finally looking at the Pentagon.
5 years and trillions of dollars, and what have we got? Bombings in the Green Zone, Walter Reed with rats and cockroaches, Injured Reservists going for their third tour...with an extension, no Rapid Response capability in the Airborne in Texas. And a new destroyer and fighter bomber?
The Pentagon, Generals and who knows how far down the chain of command:cannot accomplish a mission, cares nothing for the troops, spends money like Anna Nicole, watches as the capability degrades, is complicit in torture, etc etc.
Five years I would broken an arm before saying it, for I thought the military had higher standards and values than Tom DeLay and Ted Stevens, but after watching the performance over the last five years, the conclusion is inescapable:
Republicans as staff officers are threats to the National Security of America.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 2:33:53 PM
You know, it's funny, everybody understands Brown at FEMA and Monica Goodling at DoJ but nobody ever seems to wonder about the Captains, Majors, Colonels and why this war has been a clusterf**k without world-historical screaming and mass resignations.
I need a bumpersticker:"What would George Marshall do?"
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 3:06:18 PM
The tone Sullivan has taken towards the left has changed dramatically, from derision to something approaching comradery. I don't know if his substantive positions have changed much, but his rhetoric really has.
That's what happens when every wisp of gas you've been spewing for years makes you look like an idiot. Damn internet! Damn caching!
Whatever affectation Sullivan has got going this week, it's a safe bet that two weeks, a month, a year from now he'll be having emotional spasms about some transient fluff, and he'll go back to sticking the shiv into today's "comrades". His ongoing alarmist schtick about Iran seems entirely founded on basic ignorance of that country's history and politics. It's a helluva lot like his embarrassing hysteria about Iraq circa 2002-3, yet the parallel seems to have sailed right over his head. Sullivan is not the kind of "ally" that any sensible person would want.
Posted by: sglover | Apr 12, 2007 3:20:31 PM
Bob, the solution is to fire everyone above the rank of Sergeant. (Along with the janitors.) They all hate the soldiers anyway.
Posted by: Sanpete | Apr 12, 2007 3:21:40 PM
Sanpete, do you have a reading problem? I did not mention Lt's, I specifically pointed to Republican Officers, and I never said "hated". They just love their President, party, and tax cuts more than the troops under their command or their country.
I would not be a company commander very long, watching my guys shredded for lack of armor, without kicking ass or getting kicked out. Certainly not for five years. But I am not a Republican.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 5:17:26 PM
Bob, there are quite a few Republicans below the rank of Lieutenant who shouldn't be spared either. None of them, regardless of rank, care about other soldiers. (I should have distinguished between hating and caring nothing for the soldiers, since it matters ... somehow.) If we just kick all the Republicans out of the military, we should still have, maybe, 40% of the military left. No biggie.
Posted by: Sanpete | Apr 12, 2007 5:40:16 PM
"If we just kick all the Republicans out of the military, we should still have, maybe, 40% of the military left. No biggie."
I also didn't say it wasn't a difficult and a huge problem. Not only is National Security is dire jeopardy, but domestic tranquility as well. They will not go quietly, even under orders or law.
I have been advocating a return to the draft for a long time. A few Democrats in key power positions or general dispersal would do wonders for competence and decency. Vietnam was certainly no huge success, but Saigon was pretty safe until the last days.
Hey, there is some hyperbole, but not that much. Performance has sucked, catastrophically. Literally ciminally. Westmoreland performed much better, which is really an abysmal standard to fall below.
Bout time we started holding staff officers accountable.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 6:23:49 PM
And 60% may be generally correct, but I would guess that the point of the spear, combat units, have a higher percentage of Republicans. Elite units more, officer corps maybe 80% Repub, and they don't allow Democrats near Colorado Springs.
I have little problem calling this a Republican Military, which was the Nixon intention in the early 70s. Now we see how Republicans wage war.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 6:54:23 PM
Mourning Vonnegut today, Bob?
Posted by: Sanpete | Apr 12, 2007 7:03:26 PM
"Mourning Vonnegut today, Bob?"
Not so much, remembering him today. I had read all his work thru Slaughterhouse and recommend the early novels without reservation. A very good writer and good man. But I never made a personal connection, an emotional connection, with Vonnegut like I have with Mailer or even Vidal. I think he was damaged in WWII, like so many others, and was reserved and isolated, and it shows in his work. I feel much the same way about Irving, admiring the work much more than warming to the author.
Pynchon, however he writes, strikes me as a pretty happy guy.
Maybe we misanthropes recognize each other.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 7:29:28 PM
Don't go suggesting Sullivan's a lefty -- it'll just spur him to spend the next week affirming ways in which he's *not* a lefty. I swear, half of the guy's words perform no other function but to distance him from others, most often the icky left. It's very tiresome. It's like he's perpetually trying to find the shifting sweet spot in the political spectrum at which he's situated equidistant from everyone else.
Someone above notes he's linking to Ezra a lot lately, but he also took pains to point out the other day that he almost never *agrees* with Ezra. Sigh.
Posted by: Ryan | Apr 12, 2007 8:49:22 PM
I know Ezra doesn't like off-topic posts, so we should return to "Everything bad is all Republican's fault" but Sanpete inspired me and there is plenty of commentary on Vonnegut around the Web, from prople who knew him better and liked him more. You could start with the Wikipedia entry. They would possibly disagree with my characterization of KV as a misanthrope.
Posted by: bob mcmanus | Apr 12, 2007 9:29:31 PM
"No sane person is a flat-tax lover or a Bell Curve devotee."
But Bell Curve arguably is a experimental scientific fact.
Is it sane to suppress scientific facts?
Like they did in Middle Ages?
If consensus is it is sane to suppress scientific facts at will, my vote would be to repeal the Law of Conservation of Energy.
Then we could produce unlimited nice clean energy from nothing, isn't that great?
Posted by: mik | Apr 12, 2007 9:55:28 PM
The Bell Curve is utter junk science. Note the wikipedia entry, which contains constant evidence of the utterly blinkered methodology used in the book. I mean, The Bell Curve was funded by the Pioneer Fund, a racist eugenics advocacy group. Sure, it's silly to dismiss out of hand science, but it's quite intelligent to not only dismiss but condemn biased and flawed "facts" such as that.
Regarding Sullivan, I'm still not sure if he's a closet Imus or was simply being controversial for controversy's sake when he threw his support behind the book. Considering his oft-ephemeral policy beliefs, I would think it would be the latter.
Posted by: Glenn Fayard | Apr 13, 2007 11:20:10 AM
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Posted by: judy | Sep 28, 2007 5:15:09 AM



