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March 30, 2007

Good news about climate change!

(Posted by John.)

...just kidding, of course.  Joseph Romm -- Clinton-era energy booster -- has highlighted a pair of articles about the way the media has misreported probably one of the most basic elements of global warming:  rising sea levels.  Essentially, the media took the IPCC's low-ball estimates and made them the only acceptable predictions.  Both papers take issue with that.  One takes a linear approach and says that if the world's seas rise at the rate they did in the 20th century, we could be in for a one-meter rise by 2100.  James Hansen, in the other paper, says that if the rate of sea level rise accelerates like it has since 1950, we could be in for a five meter rise in sea levels.  Both predictions are outside the range used by the IPCC, because the IPCC was only allowed to consider very limited models in its predictions -- and those prediction were bad enough.

Hansen's paper is here, Stefan Rahmstorf's is here.  (Both links PDF.)

March 30, 2007 | Permalink

Comments

The reason the media treats the IPCC estimates as the only acceptable predictions is because for so long the bulk of environmentalists have been telling us that they are just that.

After for so long aggrandizing the IPCC as the voice of the consensus to which we should all show deference and maligning those who dissented with its findings as a ramshackle allegience of quacks and paid stooges, the environmentalist movement finds itself in a bind of it's own making now that the IPCC doesnt support the environmentalist agenda with the strength it had done in previous years.

Posted by: the invisible pimp hand | Mar 31, 2007 5:26:46 AM

I'm buying oceanfront property in Kansas City.

Posted by: Fred Jones | Mar 31, 2007 9:21:52 AM

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Posted by: judy | Sep 27, 2007 2:51:29 AM

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