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July 29, 2005

Gore on Health

Via The Carpetbagger, this just about clinches the Gore deal for me. What worries me about Hillary, and has for awhile, is how hemmed in she is on health care. After the total failure that was her first attempt at a major overhaul, her credibility and, thus, ability to push for substantive reform is asymptotically approaching zilch. She'll have to be an incrementalist. She'll get things done, sure, but small things, like IT, not big things, like single-payer. That's not because she's philosophically opposed to the project -- at least I don't think she is -- but the media storyline (Hillarycare 2!) would be ext to impossible to overcome.

Gore has no such constraints. More to the point, he's already endorsed single-payer:

"I think we've reached a point where the entire health care system is in impending crisis," Gore said. "I have reluctantly come to the conclusion that we should begin drafting a single-payer national health insurance plan."

Just having such a major figure push that into the debate would change the health policy landscape. Add this to my other arguments on Gore 08. In fact, put it in first place. And consider me convinced: I want Gore in this race.

July 29, 2005 | Permalink

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» Gore in 2008? from Neurath's Boat
It's awfully early to be deciding on a presidential candidate; probably a half-dozen worthy contenders nobody is presently talking about will have made an appearance by the time of the primary race. But we have to do something to entertain [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 29, 2005 4:26:45 PM

» Gore in 2008? from Neurath's Boat
It's awfully early to be deciding on a presidential candidate; probably a half-dozen worthy contenders nobody is presently talking about will have made an appearance by the time of the primary race. But we have to do something to entertain [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 29, 2005 4:28:43 PM

Comments

"her credibility and, thus, ability to push for substantive reform is asymptotically approaching zilch."

Math police here: are you trying to say that her ability to push for substantive reform is inexorably approaching zero, but without actually getting there? If so, you chose the right word, but if not...well, I can suggest others. :)

Posted by: Haggai | Jul 29, 2005 3:24:12 PM

Yep. There's always a chance she could do it, but each time she steps on a stage with Newt Gingrich and says "she's learned the value of small steps", it gets a little smaller...;)

Posted by: Ezra Klein | Jul 29, 2005 3:34:20 PM

In what world are you living in? There will almost certainly be a Republican dominated house for at least the next few election cycles (Gerrymandering ensures that) so NO democrat as ANY chance of getting a universal health care system passed.

Honestly, you will be lucky to get Hillary's incrimental steps. The simple truth is, you are at least a decade away from Single Payer. Probably a Generation, if you can ever get it.

Posted by: Dave Justus | Jul 29, 2005 3:38:16 PM

Gotcha, Ezra. That thar college larnin' did you some good! Well, I guess most people learn about asymptotes in high school, so I assume you probably did too...

Anyway, glad to see at least a bit of non-butchered math referencing in the blogosphere. I'm still smarting from the violence against calculus that occurred on Matt Y's old blog when he tried to explain budget deficit projections with infinite horizons.

Posted by: Haggai | Jul 29, 2005 3:47:55 PM

I think you've got it right on Hilliary-care 2. Gore COULD do it, with the right Congress. The right Congress isn't impossible in a 1994-like revolution, which also COULD happen.

Posted by: JimPortlandOR | Jul 29, 2005 4:05:22 PM

We'd likely need Congress, but hell, if we had congress than anyone (including Hillary) could do it.

That said, I think dismissing healthcare IT as a "little thing" isn't correct. If I could do only one thing in healthcare, it'd be IT before single payer. The only way we're going to get any real systemic changes in healthcare is with IT--once we can track the insane stuff we're doing, we can hold people accountable for it.

OTOH, I can see where the political calculus would be to do the politically harder big thing (single payer) as opposed to the politically easier big thing (IT).

But you're right, it's a reason for Gore over Hillary. It's also a reason for an Edwards/Clark ticket over either of them--this is going to be a major sales pitch to the American people, and sorry, but it took me 5 years and Bush's "personal savings account" initiative to figure out what the heck Gore meant by lockbox. Those two can't sell.

Posted by: theorajones | Jul 29, 2005 4:14:43 PM

Actually, am I the only one who thinks the chances are good for a good, solid pickup in 06'?

Hell, even if Hackett loses narrowly, that's a heckuva sign (hell, a single digit loss in a seat where we usually lose by 30?!?). As are the polls. As are the right track/wrong track numbers.

Won't take that many seats to get the House -- the Senate is more like pulling an inside straight, but is an outside possibility.

And Dave, it isn't like they have a huge majority in the House (nothing like the Dem. majorities of the 70s-80s)-- and given that two reasons for any discipline in the GOP House, Rove and Delay, are both in a spot of legal trouble and may be hobbled before the midterms -- well, this might get more interesting than you think.

Posted by: Chris R. | Jul 29, 2005 4:18:49 PM

Besides, I really liked my "Re-Elect Gore 2004" bumper sticker. Changing it to 2008 isn't quite as euphonious, but it still has a bit of humor.

Posted by: J Bean | Jul 29, 2005 6:26:18 PM

I love Gore, but he is another Kerry in his personal style. He is a thoughtful, reflective, rather colorless introvert, at least in the way he presents himself. I'm afraid he cannot project enough animation and confidence to snare the voters in the middle of the country. He's not going to make any of them say, "I like the guy." This shouldn't be a requirement, but for so many it seems to be.

Posted by: Katherine | Jul 29, 2005 6:27:20 PM

You're wrong, in a way most of the Democratic party seems to be wrong, about why Hillary isn't a good candidate, and Gore isn't either. Neither of them comes across well on TV; Gore is stiff, and Hillary can appear hectoring. We're going to keep losing elections until we finally realize that how a candidate looks and sounds on TV is crucial. A lot of people respond to Bush' persona, and that's the explanation (along with a lot of corporate money) for his success. Hillary and Gore don't have it.

Posted by: Rebecca Allen, PhD | Jul 31, 2005 3:13:57 AM

Of course, we could run someone that puts "Phd" behind their name at every opportunity. They are always known to "people persons".

Posted by: Fred Jones | Jul 31, 2005 4:48:55 PM

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Posted by: peter.w | Sep 16, 2007 11:03:48 PM

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