June 30, 2005
Zogby Weighs In
Bad news in the new Zogby poll, at least if your name is Bush. Not only was there no bounce in Bush's speech, but the red states have turned against him and 42% of voters say they'd want congress to begin impeachment proceedings if only they knew about the Downing Street Memos. That's not going to happen, of course, not with a Republican majority. But if the media was serious about pushing the story in the way they pressed Whitewater, it'd prove a real danger to the administration.
The very fact, however, that Zogby is polling questions of impeachment shows that the memos are gaining traction. This is the sort of thing the media loves to report: numbers, information, artifacts that make their stories look driven by news rather than editors. And 42%, for that matter, is a very high number. How many media organizations pick up on it and how hard they push it will say a lot about how constant media coverage is between administrations.
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Tracked on Jul 1, 2005 8:03:09 AM
I too was surprised by the 42% that would consider impeachment if they were deliberately misled on the Iraq war rationale and leadup. The shift of independents to a position not much different than the Dems is the telling swing. You can bet some sweat is being generated in BushCo and Congress on that change.
The media seems a little more balanced recently too. They too must read those nasty polls that Geo II claims he pays no attention to.
By this fall, the '06 campaign will be starting. Will the Repubs commit hari-kari by forcing more extreme stuff through on party-line votes? (my Gods, I hope so).
Maybe the stars are lining up for a 1994-like swing in the country's mood and electoral preferences. The problem for the Dems is that we aren't liked any better than the Repubs.
Every time I think about it, I can't understand or explain how the massive shift of the independents has occured in less than six months. The media did not feed this. No did the politicians, Repub or Dem. Why did this occur? Is this the oft-talked about, but never documented, 'native smartness' of the electorate?
Posted by: JimPortlandOR | Jun 30, 2005 7:00:05 PM
What amazes me most about that number is that it was higher than Clinton's when he was impeached (granted, only 1%--Clinton was at 41%) even though Clinton really hadn't committed an impeachable offense. Bush has committed at least one clear one, and its only at 42%? Sad state of affairs, if you ask me.
Posted by: Chris Woods | Jun 30, 2005 7:02:41 PM
I don't think the "red states have turned against him" and you certainly could not reliably draw that conclusion from a nationwide Zogby poll of less than 1000 people. SurveryUSA's state-by-state poll indicates that two (2) red states have turned decisively against Bush -- Ohio and Nevada. Ohio looks surprisingly like any other Blue State now, a by-product of coingate and the intense unpopularity of Gov. Taft ???
Other than Ohio and Nevada, the red-blue divide continues, with Bush's popularity undiminished even marginally in about half of red states.
Posted by: Bruce Wilder | Jun 30, 2005 10:49:44 PM
If we only had Ohio 8 months ago....
Posted by: Adrock | Jul 1, 2005 11:36:22 AM
OTOH, switching Ohio and Nevada to blue could mean the presidency in '08.
Posted by: Barry | Jul 1, 2005 1:58:45 PM
Posted by: peter.w | Sep 16, 2007 8:59:53 PM
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